...... Well with things the way they are now what do y'all think is the future. Z-Wave? INSTEON? X10? I'm not complaining, just lamenting and wanted to see what everyone else thinks.
Hummmm..... I hate predicting the future. The odds of failure are almost guaranteed. Sorry for the length.... I've
REALLY missed these forums.
History: The problem with
Home
Automation has always been it's complexity. Most Home Automation setups were constructed and owned by electrical-mechanical minded DIY types. For most HA (Home Automation) types.... the setup was a hobby... and justified itself.
Other users of HA had a problem that they wanted/needed to resolve... which justified the cost/effort. Whether it was Christmas lights, water sprinklers, a pool pump on a timer.... Or being able to unlock a door when bed-ridden... cost and effort was justified.
Presently: Home Automation is now being marketed like never before... being sold as a service...
with TV commercials and everything. And purchased installed as a monthly fee... like cable TV or a security alarm. And both marketed and sold by the same security alarm and cable TV people. Integrating these services with smart phones has proven to be very desirable. Service providers claim sales increasing at 15% per year.
The Future: I don't think DIY is going to subside! As the "service automation" sales increase I think (
predict) so will the demand for DIY HA products. I think many HA users really enjoy creating thier HA setups. Also... many of us are too cheap (or poor) to consider the "automation for fee" service plans.
But whether purchased, leased, or DIY.... I expect to see (
another prediction) a variety of brands and types of systems. RF is limited in its size and isn't for everywhere. PLC (like X10's PowerLine Command) isn't perfect for every user but is near limitless in its uses and the number of units/modules that can be used. The new WiFi IP-addressed modules are nice.... but once again... limited by RF restrictions.
In my vision of the future I see near limitless integration of whatever products and/or services the user may want to accomplish whatever level of automation is desired. The inclusion of smart phones and tablets makes full fledged automation systems pretty exciting. The HUGE number of available HA apps and people with technical skills make DIY easier than ever before. The only decision for the user will be monthly fee... or just build and own the system yourself.
Or maybe even combo systems. Like buy via service-fee... systems like the alarm system.... but build/create/own the camera monitoring, smartphone viewing portion of the setup. Then mix X10 and Z-wave or INSTEON for lighting and/or specialized control.
In the future..... I see more autonomous homes. Homes that can tell when to warn the resident that a garage door was left open.... or decide to just close the door. Homes that detect leaks, drafts, or unexpected activity and sends texts to the homes residents. Texts an image of someone ringing the door bell. So the home owner can speak directly to the visitor via the cellphone/intercom link. Or maybe.... the house will automatically turn off the alarm, unlock the door, and announce the allowed entry of the expected visitor... based on calendar schedule and facial recognition.